He'll never walk much or provide and value on the bases, but his power in the Blue Jay's stacked lineup is too tantalizing to pass up. There is elite potential here, but there's obvious risk to drafting him ahead of some of the established players we have in Tier Three. 6-foot-2, 240 pounds. G Jenkins 8. one base to another, like Home To First. 4 overall prospect. MLB Tonight: Outfield Arm | 09/10/2021 | MLB.com 0:00 5:48 MLB Tonight: Outfield Arm September 10, 2021 | 00:05:48 The MLB Tonight panel breaks down the components of a good outfield arm MLB Network MLB Tonight Hunter Renfroe O'Neill won a Gold Glove last season, but he hit only .173 with a 70 OPS+ and 0.9 WAR in 50 games, tallying just 12 extra-base hits in 157 plate appearances. Buxton has essentially played one full season's worth of games over the past two years, posting a 150 OPS+ with 47 home runs and 8.5 WAR in 153 games since the start of 2021. Aristides Aquino (Reds): 101.6 mph, April 9 vs. Braves 2. This tier includes a number of power-speed options, led by Tucker and Robert, who both went 30/30 in the Minors in 2019 and continued to contribute on multiple fronts in '20. There is no official timetable for his return, but he will miss a handful of weeks. 14. J Edmonds 7. His middling defense (-6 DRS, -4.8 UZR/150) and the time he missed kept him from ranking any higher. There are many more valuable players in Tier 4 than Castellanos. All stats courtesy of Baseball Reference and FanGraphs. 2021 Fantasy Baseball Outfielder Rankings 2. But given his offensive production and impact at the top of the lineup, that's more than enough to make him an extremely valuable all-around player. The culprit appears to be a career-high 30.8% strikeout rate and a wildly unlikely .259 BABIP. Just like the regular-season rankings, players are ranked solely on the 2021 season. His 6.4 WAR marked the sixth time in nine MLB seasons that he's been a 6-WAR player, and he finished fifth in NL MVP voting, one spot behind teammate Freddie Freeman. Previous picks: Mookie Betts (hit), Joey Gallo (power), Christian Yelich (run), Harrison Bader (defense), Cody Bellinger, CF, DodgersKey stat: 101.1 mph max arm strength. Scouts have long graded position players on five tools that are central to success in the game: hitting, hitting for power, running, fielding and throwing. Let's keep our 2021 MLB Player Rankings series rolling with a look at the top 25 outfielders. A former Gold Glove winner in left field, he is a roughly average defender in center field. Last year, Jimenez made exactly the kind of strides you want to see in a young player: A lower strikeout rate, a nearly thirty-point increase in average, a higher average exit velocity, and a massive spike in home runs. At 321 feet, it was the longest on-the-fly throw for an outfield assist tracked by Statcast (since 2015). He might just be entering his throwing prime, making this the perfect time to claim his golden arm for my superplayer. The longtime utility man split his time between center field (93 games) and second base (47 games), and he posted a 107 OPS+ with 58 extra-base hits in a career-high 585 plate appearances. The first three hitters in Tier 2 could all conceivably lead the MLB in home runs. His career will always be under a microscope, but it's hard to call his 2021 performance anything but superstar-caliber. T Hunter 6. Similarly, Grisham has played fewer than 120 games in the Majors. It is fantasy baseball season! The 2015 first-round pick hit .281/.360/.473 for a 135 OPS+ with 22 doubles, 23 home runs, 65 RBI and 3.7 WAR in 135 games, and he now looks like a core piece of the lineup alongside Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani. If you are looking for a cheap power source, Soler is the way to go. in "feet per second in a player's fastest one-second It's time to put a bow on the 2022 MLB season with Bleacher Report's final positional rankings. Read full article. For a pitcher it is the average of his softest 50% of batted balls allowed. Throughout the year, we released monthly updates to our position-by-position power rankings, selecting the top 10 players at each spot. The 25-year-old hit .306/.406/.613 for a gaudy 187 OPS+ that trailed only Aaron Judge among all players, tallying 29 doubles, 37 home runs, 97 RBI and 95 runs scored in 135 games for a 6.8-WAR season. the fastest reactions and most direct routes in the The precision is there (nine errors across nearly 1,140 innings last year), and so is the power and reaction time. Martinez started cold and never recovered last season, and Meadows was never right after dealing with COVID-19 in July. 15 throws) with an average arm strength of 88.4 mph on max-effort throws -- a.k.a. The last edition ran April 17, while the next edition will be published May 15. Fantasy managers can still find some starting-caliber outfielders in this tier. For the first two weeks of the 2020 season, Leads All Scorers In Game 1 Against Miami, Turns Back The Clock In Game 1 Against New York, Jose Urquidy Leaves Game Early With Shoulder Injury, Matt Brash Earns First Career Save Sunday, Expected To Return Beginning Of Next Season, Doubtful Monday, Continues To Make Improvements, Austin Corbett Not Expected To Be Ready For Season, Could Open Season As No. Bellinger could be a great pick for any tool -- hit, power, speed, glove or arm. 1 spot in 2023? Even with his question marks, Robert's speed and power combo as well as the talent surrounding him in the White Sox lineup makes him a top-15 outfielder. Don't fall for the name recognition: Aaron Judge should not be at the top of draft boards, and he has to prove he can be both healthy and productive before he moves out of Tier 3. A batted ball with the perfect combination of exit M Kotsay 5. All of the sudden, the ball is at the base, and a runner who thought he had it made is out. thrown with. The 29-year-old opted out of the final two years of his contract shortly after the World Series concluded. 27 prospect in the Cleveland organization would finish as one of the 10 best outfielders in baseball? Dominic Smith and Anthony Santander are two players looking to build on breakout 2020 campaigns. J Francoeur 3. Will Bednar. Catch up on the Top 25 in 2022 series: Catchers, First Basemen, Second Basemen, Shortstops, Third Basemen Honorable Mentions: Next 25 1. Beware his positional eligibility, as he qualifies at DH/UTIL only in some formats. Two defense-first players lead the Tier 6 pack, as Ramon Laureano and Byron Buxton are both more valuable in real life than fantasy. The 31-year-old remains one of baseballs most imposing sluggers, but he has appeared in just 41 regular season games over the past two years. In total, he made 10 throws of 95-plus mph last season and had three throws of 300 feet or more. 13-ranked prospect. Smith is the player I like more going forward, as he's shown a more consistent ability to hit for average and get on base. able to make a catch on an individual batted ball. Catch up on the 2021 MLB Player Rankings series:Catchers,First Basemen,Second Basemen, Third Basemen,Shortstops. And much-ballyhooed Mariners rookie Jarred Kelenic has a moderate knee strain. A .230/.305/.388 career hitter in 534 plate appearances entering the 2022 season, Ward was one of the year's biggest surprises. One important stipulation: Each player could only be selected for one of the five tools. Varsho split his time between right field (541.2 innings), center field (378.2 innings) and catcher (175.0 innings) as one of the more unique utility players in the sport. Let's dive into the top 25 outfielders of the 2022 season. He was one of only two qualified hitters with a strikeout rate below 10 percent, and he also won Gold Glove honors thanks to his brilliant defensive metrics (21 DRS, 8.4 UZR/150) in left field. Through all the excess options, it becomes even more important to find the top values and to not settle for "good enough" production. Cedric Mullins hit .225/.290/.342 with seven home runs and 10 steals in 115 games scattered across his first three big league seasons. "feet per second in a player's fastest one-second Aristides Aquino (Reds): 100.9 mph, Aug. 2 vs. Marlins 3. His 5.7 WAR was second on the AL West champions roster, behind only Carlos Correa. One of the tougher players to slot on this list, Buxton played in only 61 games while missing time with a hip strain and fractured hand. Catch up on the 2021 MLB Player Rankings series: Catchers, First Basemen, Second Basemen,. Arm Strength. Look no further than Realmuto, the class of defenders behind home plate and the quickest gun in the Major Leagues. Similar to Springer, Aaron Judge's value all comes down to health. Then there are the players I don't love taking at this spot. Despite his 2020 postseason heroics, Arozarena entered the 2021 season with rookie eligibility, and he wound up leading all rookies with 4.1 WAR. It's easy to see where the hype comes from: He had nine homers and eight steals in just 58 games last year, and he will rack up the runs and RBIs in a stacked Astros lineup. Andrew Benintendi, Kansas City Royals/New York Yankees. He also once again took home Gold Glove honors in a 6.3 WAR season. Jump is a Statcast metric that shows which players have with a 90% Catch Probability or lower. For a pitcher it is the average of his softest 50% of batted balls allowed. A range-based metric of skill that shows how many outs a He earned a starting nod in the All-Star Game, and he deserves a ton of credit for the job he did protecting Vladimir Guerrero Jr. out of the cleanup spot in the Toronto lineup. those in the top 10 percent of a players sample. Robert has the speed to be atop the steals leaderboards every year, but that skill is limited if his on-base percentage is hovering around .300. That being said, Mike Trout is Mike Trout, and even in a down season, he still improved his exit velocity by almost 3 mph. The 29-year-old proved that performance was sustainable over a full season this year, logging a 133 OPS+ while hitting .296/.346/.524 with 29 doubles, 32 home runs and 116 RBI. Eddie Rosario is another player I wouldn't draft at this spot. Tier Two 4. His defensive metrics in center field (14 DRS, 12.1 UZR) helped him post a career-best 4.9 WAR season. Anything below 88mph is considered 0. The man known as El Mago (The Magician) is blessed with many gifts and would have been a fine pick for the fielding tool, but lets focus on his rocket for a right arm. 2B/SS/3B -- average of top 5% of throws -- minimum 75 throws to qualify. Among players with at least 200 plate appearances last season, the 23-year-old had the fourth-highest chase rate, the third-highest whiff rate and the sixth-highest strikeout rate, making him a high-risk, high-reward pick in the early rounds. games / 5. The big question is whether he can continue his elite baserunning into his early 30s. Castellanos and Blackmon, meanwhile, faded dramatically after blazing starts. Grab him for the floor he provides in average and RBI but the upside isn't there. has him drawing comparisons to Hall of Famer Ted Williams. 17. Its certainly not about skill, and combined with Simmons fundamentals and defensive savvy, look out. Even with all of those free passes and teams pitching around him, he still managed 20 doubles, 29 home runs and 95 RBI. the ERA scale, A measurement of a player's top running speed, expressed The advanced numbers back it up too: He was in the 98th percentile and 97th in expected slugging. Starling Marte made a unique bit of history in 2021, becoming the first player in MLB history with at least 20 stolen bases in both leagues in the same season. DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (5/1/23): Today's Top MLB DFS Lineups, Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds - Advanced Metrics Leaders for BABIP (Week 6), Top 25 Fantasy Baseball Prospects To Stash - Updated Rankings for 2023 Redraft (Week 6), Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (5/1/23), PrizePicks MLB DFS Prop Picks - Today's Over/Under Props for Monday, May 1, 2023, Daily MLB Injury Roundup for May 1st, 2023, Fantasy Baseball Injury Reports - Updates for J.D. And it would be a crime not to grab Bellinger in this five-tools exercise somewhere. He doesn't hit for power and he doesn't steal bases, and at 33, his best days are behind him. the fastest reactions and most direct routes in the Merrifield's stealing ability is the difference between him being a solid, dependable mid-draft option and from him being one of the best fantasy outfielders in the game. 1 prospect in baseball with the Red Sox in 2017, Benintendi never quite lived up to expectations in Boston, but he has set himself up for a nice free agency payday after a strong 2022 season. of his glove and to the base on a stolen base or pickoff one base to another, like Home To First. Mancini is back after missing 2020 because of Stage 3 colon cancer. This all resulted in the worst season of his career, and at 34, it's clear his best days are behind him. How hard, in miles per hour, a fielder throws the ball. Right behind them are Mookie Betts, who someone got better in his first season in Dodger Blue, setting a career-high in sweet spot percentage and home run rate. Gallo, Soler, Lewis, Yastrzemski, Happ, Rosario and Mountcastle can provide it. Summer brings warmer weather and balls are beginning to leave the yard more. The 30-year-old posted a 136 OPS+ with 40 doubles, 35 home runs, 82 RBI and an NL-leading 117 runs scored in 142 games. He racked up 4.7 WAR despite missing 35 games early in the season with a fractured rib. Right-Handed Pitcher, Mississippi State. How hard, in miles per hour, a pitch is thrown. Given that there is no rulebook definition of "a throw where the player is trying hard," and many non-competitive lobs are captured, we have elected to take the average of the top portion of a player's throws. How high/low, in degrees, a ball was hit by a batter. Kris Bryant, Chicago Cubs/San Francisco Giants. Arozarena is coming off a postseason for the ages, on top of a strong finish in the regular season. 53 games are too small a sample size to make any grand judgments, and his batted ball rates don't quite back up the standard numbers, but Mountcastle is a solid bet to hit in the high .200s with 20-25 home runs. No other infielder came close to matching his average arm strength on Statcast-measured throws. Those two players have been moved down, respectively, from 53 to 63 and from 69 to 77. The 29-year-old hit .274/.367/.433 with 30 doubles, seven triples, 16 home runs, 64 RBI and 102 runs scored as the table-setter atop the Mets' lineup, and he once again played a roughly league-average center field. In 2019, it was all about arm strength for Laureano. All stats courtesy of Baseball Reference and FanGraphs. He is no longer any threat on the bases, and his average exit velocity last year was the worst of his career. The 28-year-old is capable of making a greater impact in half a season than most players can in a full 162 games, and he racked up 4.0 WAR and 44 extra-base hits in 92 games this year while earning his first All-Star selection. He had an average max-effort arm strength of 94.1 mph, seventh-fastest among MLB outfielders (min. You can make a case for a number of players to go first overall in 2021 drafts, but were giving Acua a slight edge over Padres shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr. Heres the 23-year-olds per-162-game averages over the past two seasons: 45 homers, 37 steals, 105 RBIs and 139 runs with a .274/.374/.531 slash line. 3 overall player, followed by Trout, who continues to deliver at the plate year after year and remains among fantasys top five players despite his decline on the bases (one steal in 2020). Up next is the 22-year-old Soto, whose production over his first three seasons has him drawing comparisons to Hall of Famer Ted Williams. become a hit. Hitting in an absolute stacked lineup, Conforto's ability to get on base and hit for power will make him one of the most valuable fantasy hitters in baseball. Here are the players who just missed the cut, listed alphabetically: 25. Or his 92 mph rocket from right to nail Stephen Strasburg at first base and preserve a Hyun-Jin Ryu no-hit bid on May 12. Tampa Bay Rays Record Last 10 . Since there are three times as many outfielders as there are other positions on the diamond, it made sense to add an honorable mention list of 25 guys onto our top 25 list. The Giants acquired him at the trade deadline, and he is poised to cash in as a free agent this offseason. All rights reserved. The 24-year-old led the team in OPS+ (147) while hitting .294/.359/.557 with 37 doubles, 30 home runs, 92 RBI and 14 steals in what was essentially his first full season in the majors, aside from last year's shortened slate. Bednar's fastball has some late life and ride and has ticked up from last year, now more comfortably sitting 91-94/95. A Statcast metric designed to express the demonstrated skill of catchers at preventing wild pitches or passed balls compared to their peers. Robert may have the higher ceiling of the two, but he also has the lower floor. Harper hit .338/.476/.713 with 20 home runs after the All-Star break, doing his part to help a Phillies team that tried in vain to chase down a postseason berth. Non-tendered by the Chicago Cubs at the start of last offseason, Schwarber signed a one-year, $10 million contract with the Nationals. A Batted Ball Event represents any batted ball that The speedy Straw was an everyday player for the first time in 2021, first replacing George Springer in center field in Houston before the Astros traded him to Cleveland at the deadline. Let's keep our 2021 MLB Player Rankings series rolling with a look at the top 25 outfielders. MLB Prospects Rising In Updated Top 100 Rankings Elly De La Cruz - 3B, Cincinnati Reds Okay, so clearly Elly De La Cruz isn't new to the top 100, but he is the new No. He even threw a ball 100.8 mph on April 21, though it didnt result in an assist. He also had the two fastest-tracked infield assists to first base -- reaching 94 mph -- and was responsible for about half of the 92-plus mph assists from all infielders. Tier 5: Anthony Santander, Victor Robles, Clint Frazier, Max Kepler, Kyle Schwarber, Jesse Winker, Trey Mancini, Andrew McCutchen, Jarred Kelenic, AJ Pollock, Andrew Benintendi, Mark Canha, Chris Taylor, Nick Solak, Mitch Haniger, Aaron Hicks, Brandon Nimmo, Lorenzo Cain, Joc Pederson, Garrett Hampson. With the injury-prone label fading after back-to-back healthy seasons, teams can feel a bit more comfortable signing him to a long-term deal this winter, and he hits the open market for the first time as one of the highest profile players in the history of MLB free agency. Expect him to be one of the faces of baseball for the next decade-plus and a strong contender for the No. Seven of the first 15 players in MLB.com's player rankings are outfielders, including four of the top five. Kyle Tucker is the first big surprise on this list, as he makes a Tier 2 appearance after just 108 up-and-down career major league games. Harper wraps up the first tier. produces a result.
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