West Central North Atlantic continental shelf and slope waters. U.S. Offshore Marine Text Forecasts by Zone - National Weather Service Cooler than normal waters were also south of that line down to 20S though losing coverage and intensity. St. George CA out 10 nm Swell fading some on Mon (5/8) from 2.0 ft @ 14 secs (2.5-3.0 ft). Rain limited to Cape Mendocino through the day and evening. A tiny and weak gale developed over the North Dateline region on Sun AM (2/20) producing a short lived fetch of 45 kt west winds just south of the Central Aleutians with 24 ft seas at 46N 169.25W aimed east. Last year temps bottomed out at -2.138 on 8/13/20. On Mon AM (2/28) winds to build to 40 kts with seas 29 ft at 42N 154.75W aimed east. midnight. Alternatively, visit our basic swell maps of Pacific-Ocean where each view becomes a separate image. I dont have the best news for our local conditions, but there should still be some windows to work with. TUE NIGHT Chevrerie and Cow La Petite Brosse. Wind waves 2 ft or lessbecoming 3 to 4 ft. W swell Surf Forecast: Gales associated with this system are shown. Gidy - Wikipedia Swell is tracking towards Hawaii. W wind 5 ktbacking to SW after midnight. Mostly the same story as of late. Wednesday should see AM light and variables but with a southerly element, and then southerlies in the afternoon 10-15 mph. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration The gale to dissipate after that. Important: JavaScript support must be turned on in order to use these animated swell maps. Previous other notable peaks were +30.98 on 11/26, +36.90 on 9/28, +27.75 on 9/13 and +37.86 on 7/15. Swell NW A gale developed in the Southwestern Pacific with swell from it fading in California (see Southwestern Pacific Gale below). 10 to 12 ft at 13 secondssubsiding to 9 ft at 12 seconds in Meteorological Overview It previously peaked at +9.80 (9/21) after falling to it's lowest point in a year at +1.06 (6/9). Slight chance of showers through the day. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 10 to Mixed swell W 6 ft and NW 3 to 4 ft. THU Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetuer adipiscing elit. Wind waves 2 ft or less. (Note: These are 5 day average winds, versus realtime, so they lag what is happening today (by about 2.5 days). Wind waves 4 to 7 ft. Surf is now declining back to tiny levels with just minor levels of background swell expected from tradewinds in the South Pacific- around a foot at the most exposed Burnett breaks, tiny elsewhere. NBC News - Climate Change and Surfing: https://www.nbcnews.com/mach/science/climate-change-good-surfing-other-sports-not-so-much-ncna1017131, Mavericks & Stormsurf on HBO Sports with Bryant Gumbel https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luQSYf5sKjQ, Pieces Featuring Stormsurf: Northern US in store for show from the northern lights - New York Post Swell W 5 to Impulse/Windswell: Winter - Swell and period combination generating faces up to head high (1-4 ft) or anything with a period less than 11 secs. Water temps appear to be warming over the entire East Pacific, though still in La Nina territory for the moment. Offshore waters forecasts are subdivided by zone, each identified by text description and a Universal Generic Code (UGC). NW ground swell increases Monday with a mix of wind swell, lasting for a couple days. In the evening 40 kt northwest winds were off the Pacific Northwest with 27 ft seas at 42.5N 138.5W aimed east. East winds up to 15 mph . A few more like it are on the surf radar, and I'll get to those in a sec. Pacific Decadal Oscillation The easing trend continues. SST Anomaly Projections Select from the other forecast maps (on the right) to view the temperature, cloud cover, wind and precipitation for this country on a large scale with animation. CFSV2 Forecast for Nino3.4 Sea Surface Temp (SST) Anomalies & Current SST Anomalies. In the evening 45 kts west winds were pushing east with seas building to 30 ft over a tiny area at 45.5N 157E aimed east and a long ways from Hawaii. Global-Pacific wave (swell) map for surfers, windsurfers and sailors showing open ocean wave size, wave period and wave energy. In the evening south winds built to 45 kts over a small area lifting fast north with seas 37 ft at 40.75S 162W aimed north. Friday should then be partly sunny as weak high pressure pushes into SoCal, increasing beach max temps to the low 60s. Wind gusty north winds. Southeast Pacific Gale You are not a drop in the ocean. Farms. This is an upgrade from previous runs. Pacific-Ocean Surf Map - Wind and Wave forecasts On Sat AM (4/29) 40-45 kt northwest winds are forecast building well off the Pacific Northwest with seas 24 ft at 44.5N 142W aimed southeast. Analysis (TAO Buoys): As of (2/23) 5 day average winds were strong from the east over the Eastern equatorial Pacific and strong east over the Central Pacific and strong east over the KWGA. These therefore have a significant impact on the production of swell and surf. Overall this indicates the demise of La Nina. And another is to follow directly in it's wake Fri-Sun (5/7) with up 40 ft seas aimed north. 3 month forecast for 850 mb winds, MJO, Rossby etc, https://www.nbcnews.com/mach/science/climate-change-good-surfing-other-sports-not-so-much-ncna1017131, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luQSYf5sKjQ, http://www.bloomberg.com/video/how-to-predict-the-best-surfing-waves-EsNiR~0xR5yXGOlOq2MqfA.html, http://www.cbsnews.com/videos/surfs-up-for-mavericks-invitational-in-calif/. Updated: Fri, 28-Apr-2023 08:47:32 UTC. Coastal waters from Florence Oregon to Point St. George California and westward 60 nm. Swell fading Tues (5/9) from 1.4 ft @ 13-14 secs (1.5-2.0 ft). 00:37. A small started developing over the Northwestern Gulf on Wed AM (4/26) producing 35-40 kt west winds with seas building to 24 ft at 48N 166.75W aimed east. Boston, MA: Eastport, ME to South of New England. Beyond 72 hours the models are teasing about a tiny gale developing on Sun AM (2/27) in the Eastern Gulf of Alaska with 40 kt west winds over a small area and 29 ft seas at 41.5N 147W aimed east. The paragraphs below analyze the state of the MJO and ENSO in the Pacific and provide forecasts for upcoming activity (or inactivity depending on the state and interaction of these two oscillations). A gale started developing in the Southwest Pacific on Tues AM (4/18) with 45-50 kt southwest winds and seas building. N wind 10 to 20 kt. W wind 5 kt. Overview A few peaks to track down through the workweek, but conditions dont look great then. The cut-off low mentioned above will pinch off from the jetstream by Monday morning and spin around SoCal for a few days. (Note: These are 5 day average winds, versus realtime, so they lag what is happening today (by about 2.5 days). The 6 departments of the region of Centre are: Cher (18), Eure-et-Loir (28), Indre (36), Indre-et-Loire (37), Loir-et-Cher (41), Loiret (45) Inhabitants of Centre were 2 440 329 in 1999 and 2 519 567 in 2006. Maui Weather Forecast for April 26, 2023 : Maui Now The paragraphs below analyze the state of the MJO and ENSO in the Pacific and provide forecasts for upcoming activity (or inactivity depending on the state and interaction of these two oscillations). 218 AM PDT Mon May 1 2023. Satellite Imagery Find unique places to stay with local hosts in 191 countries. 3 month forecast for 850 mb winds, MJO, Rossby etc, https://www.nbcnews.com/mach/science/climate-change-good-surfing-other-sports-not-so-much-ncna1017131, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luQSYf5sKjQ, http://www.bloomberg.com/video/how-to-predict-the-best-surfing-waves-EsNiR~0xR5yXGOlOq2MqfA.html, http://www.cbsnews.com/videos/surfs-up-for-mavericks-invitational-in-calif/. Get notified when this report is updated. 100% advert-free browsing experience on any device, Unlimited advert-free HD webcam streaming, Long-range forecast experience without interuptions. If anything, another pulse of +3 degs anomalies were building in the far West Pacific. Marine weather and forecast conditions 3-10 days into the future. Swell W 5 to 6 ft. FRI Highs 77 to 85. Hi-res Nino1.2 & 3.4 Qualitative Analysis: (2/23) The latest images depict a broad generic stream of cool water on the equator extending west from just off Ecuador over the Galapagos out to 140W then weaker west of there before dissipating on the dateline. The other swell will be a selective but fun WNW groundswell for winter spots. The compact winds around the center may temper the size for other locations around the Pacific, but the storm's extra-long tail ensures there's a long run of swell. Conditions still don't look favorable but that could change. Summer - Chest to head high. Today (2/24) the daily index was negative at -0.96 after peaking at +27.33 on 1/31/22 and +46.71 on 12/26. I'll need a few more days to confirm, but I'm on it and as long as I have your support then I'll be able to keep you posted. The hi-res GODAS animation posted 2/17 indicates a Kelvin Wave pushing east with 2-3 degs warm anomalies with its eastern edge at 95W with only a tiny pocket of cool anomalies at -3 degs C 25 meters down and pushing to the surface at 95W while rapidly fading in coverage. W swell 10 to 12 ft at It is characterized in it's Inactive Phase by enhanced trade winds and dry weather over the part of the equator it is in control of, and in it's Active Phase by slackening if not an outright reversing trade winds while enhancing precipitation. Southern California is for good reason surfing's second home after Hawaii and the base of much of the industry. South Pacific Animations: Jetstream - Surface Pressure/Wind - Sea Height - Surf Height, LONG-TERM FORECAST Hawaii's North Shore had sets at waist to maybe chest high and lined up and clean when the sets came with decent form but a little soft. But there is no indication that El Nino will develop and if anything we'll fall into a weak steady state La Nina beyond. at 6:00 this morning were light and variable most everywhere. A return to ENSO neutral is expected this summer. That swell will be showing the dominant energy for the majority of the breaks, but that WNW swell will still be hanging in there too. Time Zone Converter By popular demand we've built and easy to use time convert that transposes GMT time to whatever time zone you are located. And Westerly Winds are fully established filling the KWGA and forecast filling the Pacific over the next month. The winds are looking similar to Saturday though, with more south wind expected for the morning. On Tues AM (2/22) west winds were 40-45 kts half way to the dateline with seas 39 ft at 38.75N 162.5E aimed east. Still, neither of these forecasts seems realistic (see IRI Consensus forecast below). Satellite Imagery : See Hi-Res Buoy Dashboards (bottom of the page). During the Active Phase in the Pacific the MJO tends to support the formation of stronger and longer lasting gales resulting in enhanced potential for the formation of swell producing storms. By browsing Magicseaweed, you agree to our use of cookies. Chance of showers. Just a minor mix of south swell and NW windswell expected. Control the animation using the slide bar found beneath the weather map. Starting Wed (3/2) the jet is to start splitting on the dateline with 160 kt winds reaching that point, then far weaker east of there. Prolonged and consecutive Active MJO Phases in the Pacific help support the formation of El Nino. 12am 26th Apr 2023 (GMT) Swell Chart for California, South California, South Webcams View All 17th Street 36th St. Newport 54th St. Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) (negative is good, positive bad - all but the Daily Index was a lagging indicator): Detailed Surf Reports, 16-day Surf Forecasts, Surf Photos - Swellnet The pattern of adding energy to the warm surface pool has restarted. In the evening 40 kt northwest winds are to be building off the Pacific Northwest with 27 ft seas at 43.5N 137.75.5W aimed east. The PDO theoretically turned from a 16 year negative run (Jan 98-Feb 2014) in early 2014 and was positive till Dec 2019, but has been negative ever since, driven by recent La Nina conditions. And an El Nino tongue of more intense warming is building on the equator west to 138W and from there to the dateline and beyond. 16-day surf forecast for Waikiki in Oahu - South Shore. 5 nm of Brookings southward, NW wind 15 to 25 kt. Alternatively, visit our basic swell maps of Global-Pacific where each view becomes a separate image. See QuikCASTs for the 5 day surf overview or read below for the detailed view. Pacific Beach (PB) long range surf forecast for swell, wind, tide and weather conditions updated multiple times daily. On Sat AM (4/29) south winds consolidated at 40 kts with seas 30 ft at 39.5S 147W aimed northeast. 218 AM PDT Mon May 1 2023. Fetch and seas fading quickly after that. In the evening residual west fetch at 30-35 kts was producing 23 ft seas at 52N 165W. Forecast (4/30) - Temps are slowly climbing above neutral (0.2 degs today) and are forecast rising to +1.49 degs in July and +2.35 degs in Nov and solidly into El Nino territory. The period was dominated by La Nia conditions, which tend to enhance hurricane activity in the . The population density of the region Centre is 64,36 inhabitants per km. And another pocket of warming waters were in the far West Pacific at 125E at +5 degs. Chance of showers. 7. A return to a more normal cadence of Active and Inactive MJO phases is starting now. On Thursday (2/24) the jet was consolidated pushing firmly east off Japan on the 36N latitude line with winds to 190 kts pushing flat over the dateline to 155W not forming any troughs though still supportive of gale development just based on wind speeds alone. Here's the sat-shot from above to save you from scrolling (image from NOAA GOES): This will bring a period of cool, showery weather Monday the 1st through Thursday the 4th, with most of the precip likely Wednesday night into Thursday. Kelvin Wave Generation Area wind monitoring model: West and East, CFSv2 3 month forecast for 850 mb winds, MJO, Rossby etc - Alternate link. Surf Heights for Hawaii should be consider 'Hawaiian Scale' if period exceeds 14 secs. This Loiret geographical article is a stub. Warmer than normal waters were aligned from 3N and above over the entire North Pacific. West Pacific Storm Unfortunately again, most mornings do look to start out with some onshore southerly wind. Portsmouth, VA: Sandy Hook, NJ to Murrells Inlet, SC. But weaker residual cool waters were still covering a large area from Peru up to the equator and west to 140W and weaker to the dateline. 16-day surf forecast for Pacific Beach (PB) in South San Diego. 8 ft at 10 seconds. 00:03. Wind waves 3 ft building to This model suggests we are at or almost past the peak of La Nina temperatures this Winter. The PDF Corrected forecast suggests temps are forecast rising to +1.20 degs in July and +1.85 degs in Nov. Amazing. Chance of rain 50 percent. May is one of the most active times of year for Southern Hemisphere swells, and this week is showing us just that. Swell is pushing towards California. Swell Direction: 192 degrees, North CA: Dribbles on Mon (5/1) fading from 1.8 ft @ 13 secs (2.0-2.5 ft). NOAA declared La Nina dead. S wind 5 ktveering to W. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Residual swell from a small Dateline gale was also fading out in Hawaii (see Tiny North Dateline Gale below). Swell on the Way | Southern California Weekly Forecast This is not believable. The 28 deg isotherm line was steady at 179E. In May-July 2021 it was the most negative its been in the -1.80 to -2.04 range since Sept 2012 (-2.99) and then fell to -3.16 in Oct 2021 (the lowest since July 1933) then settled at -2.72 in Nov and Dec 2021. WED NIGHT A mystery in the Pacific is complicating climate projections And southern hemisphere ground swell is due Friday into the coming weekend. WED NIGHT In the evening the gale was fading over the dateline with 25 kt northwest winds and seas fading from 20 ft at 35N 179E aimed southeast. 2 Finals Swell Coming From the North - Then It's All Down South. Check out our Privacy Policy for more information, 2022 Surfable and SURFERforecast. TAO Array: (4/30) Today in the far West Pacific the 29 degree isotherm was steady if not backtracking slightly from 180W (previously 170E) to 177E. TUE It was up to +21.85 on 2/10 and +55.74 on 12/22 and were in the +20 range the previous 22 days. Summer - up to waist high swell. WaveCast - SoCal You are the reason this report exists. Swell should be angled from around 305-315 with periods 14 seconds from the ground swell and 8-10 seconds from wind swell. N wind 20 to 25 kteasing to 10 to 15 kt in the Updated: Fri, 28-Apr-2023 08:53:54 UTC. Thank you to everyone who has donated! Temps bottomed out at -1.654 on 11/3/2020. in the late morning and afternoon. It was down to +6.89 on 7/29. The net result is we're currently thinking a near normal number of swells with normal size and duration is to result, but all focused sometime after Jan 2023. Summer - Head high or better. This is a clear El Nino signal. N wind 15 to 20 kt. Your heart knows the way. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. During the Inactive Phase the jet stream tends to split resulting in high pressure and less potential for swell producing storm development. TODAY 45154 /45520. Waikiki long range surf forecast for swell, wind, tide and weather conditions updated multiple times daily. National Weather Service Medford, OR. Still some fun sized surf out there as that south swell eases and hangs in there, and more short-period NW swell shows. Anomalies were moderate east over the East equatorial Pacific and moderate east over the Central Pacific and moderate east over the KWGA. You can now get all the best MSW features and more on Surfline. All the while, marine layer will be thick from a heavy onshore flow and very moist air. Coastal waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR out 10 nm 1 Week Forecast (GFS Model): On (2/24) moderate east anomalies were filling the KWGA. Before that it fell to -3.36 on 6/22, the lowest in a year. It's ion left hand column on every page on the site near the link to the swell calculator. But a quick fade is forecast as we move into late December 2022 with the CFS predicting a return to a neutral wind anomaly pattern and the low pressure bias making headway in to the KWGA in early Jan. description. Pretty similar size to Friday, but size may be a bit larger as that Southern Hemisphere tops out. Wind waves 4 to 6 ft. All this signals the demise of La Nina. W 5 ft. FRI Pacific-Ocean Surf Map - Wind and Wave forecasts Pacific-Ocean wave (swell) map for surfers, windsurfers and sailors showing open ocean wave size, wave period and wave energy. Small North Gulf Gale All Rights Reserved. Swell holding Sat (5/6) at 2.2 ft @ 16 secs (3.5 ft). Level up to a Premium Membership to unlock 16-day forecasts and other useful forecasting tools. www.gidy.fr. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Swell NW A weak Kelvin Wave is pushing east. But cold water returned in July 2021 and a second pulse of La Nina developed through the Winter of 2022. West facing breaks should run waist to chest high. And another gale developed off the Pacific Northwest Sat-Sun (4/30) with 28 ft seas aimed east. . Pacific Text Forecasts. Building 3205 Today (4/30) the Daily Index was positive at +12.76 and has been near there the last 5 days, but negative the previous 15 days, positive the 6 days prior to that after being mostly negative 25 days before that. Significant: Winter - Swell 8 ft @ 14 secs or greater (11+ ft faces) for 8+ hours (greater than double overhead). Fall/Winter 2022 = 4.0 (California & Hawaii) -17.44 on 2/22, the beginning of a change from which no return seemed likely. Crime against visiting surfers is common and becoming increasingly so, especially in the north. Chance of showers. On Thursday (2/24) locally generated windswell was hitting California and Hawaii with remnant Dateline swell fading in Hawaii too. The south swell is expected to be pretty much down to leftovers and some small NW windswell should be mixing in. Subsurface Waters Temps Within 360 nautical miles east of F1 from 50S 160E to 55S 162E: Areas of fog, heavy northwest swell. 24. long range south pacific swell forecast - CleanWorld Surf along south facing shores will ease today as a south swell that recently peaked moves out. Swell and SW 1 ft in the afternoon. Swell fading on Fri (5/5) from 2.0 ft @ 13-14 secs (2.5-3.0 ft) early.
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